Craig Reynolds Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Craig Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Craig Reynolds

RB · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Craig Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.63 seconds per snap.
Craig Reynolds has been a much smaller part of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 21.5% of snaps vs 35.4% last year.
Craig Reynolds has been responsible for a colossal 0.7% of his team's air yards this year: 78th percentile among running backs.
Craig Reynolds has been among the best possession receivers in football among RBs, hauling in a terrific 90.8% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The New England Patriots defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.
The Detroit Lions O-line has given their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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