Craig Reynolds Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Craig Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Craig Reynolds

RB · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 3, 2022 2:50 AM UTC

Analysis

Craig Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.77 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Craig Reynolds has garnered a monstrous 0.9% of his team's air yards this year: 79th percentile among running backs.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (59.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in the league (89.8%) versus running backs since the start of last season (89.8%).

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Detroit Lions have utilized play action on a lowly 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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