Craig Reynolds Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Craig Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Craig Reynolds

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Craig Reynolds Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-123/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-most run-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.6% run rate.
The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.77 seconds per snap.
The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Craig Reynolds has been a much smaller part of his offense's run game this season (17.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (39.7%).
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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