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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a big 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the Broncos as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (33.9 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect Courtland Sutton to garner 8.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Courtland Sutton's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 68.4% to 61.9%.

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