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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL has been the Broncos.

The model projects the Denver Broncos to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The model projects Courtland Sutton to garner 9.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Courtland Sutton's 67.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 60.1.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Courtland Sutton's 60.3% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 68.4% mark.

The Los Angeles Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

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