My Account Log Out

reorder

Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 138.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

Our trusted projections expect Courtland Sutton to total 8.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Courtland Sutton's 64.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 93rd percentile for wideouts.

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

Courtland Sutton's 62.2% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 68.4% mark.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.1%) versus wide receivers this year (59.1%).

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™