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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At only 27.94 seconds per snap, the Denver Broncos offense checks in as the 8th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

In this week's game, Courtland Sutton is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile among WRs with 8.2 targets.

Courtland Sutton slots into the 92nd percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) with a superb 64.2 mark this year.

The Broncos O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.8 per game) this year.

Courtland Sutton's 60.2% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a significant decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 68.4% rate.

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