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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

In this week's contest, Courtland Sutton is anticipated by the projections to place in the 89th percentile among wideouts with 8.2 targets.

Courtland Sutton's 62.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) grades out among the league leaders: 92nd percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to pass on 55.2% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Courtland Sutton's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 68.4% to 57.4%.

The Falcons linebackers profile as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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