Courtland Sutton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Courtland Sutton

NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
Courtland Sutton has run a route on 92.2% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
In this contest, Courtland Sutton is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.3 targets.
With a terrific 4.4 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton places among the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.
Courtland Sutton's 75.7% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a material progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 59.4% rate.

Favors Under

The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.
This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up a measly 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in football.
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 9th-best in football.

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