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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
  • Courtland Sutton has run a route on 92.2% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
  • In this contest, Courtland Sutton is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.3 targets.
  • With a terrific 4.4 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton places among the leading WRs in the game in the NFL.
  • Courtland Sutton's 75.7% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a material progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 59.4% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.
  • This year, the imposing Kansas City Chiefs defense has given up a measly 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in football.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Kansas City's collection of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 9th-best in football.

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