Courtland Sutton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Courtland Sutton

NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Courtland Sutton's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 59.4% to 71.2%.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 122.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The Denver Broncos have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 50.7 plays per game.
The Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.0 per game) this year.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point diminishment in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Courtland Sutton has been used much less in his offense's passing offense.

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