Courtland Sutton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Courtland Sutton

NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Courtland Sutton has run a route on 91.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
This week, Courtland Sutton is projected by the projection model to place in the 79th percentile among WRs with 6.8 targets.
With an exceptional 5.0 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton rates among the top wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
Courtland Sutton's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 59.4% to 74.2%.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 60.1 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The Denver Broncos have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.2 plays per game.
Since the start of last season, the stout Jets defense has yielded a measly 63.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's group of LBs has been great this year, profiling as the best in the league.

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