|
|
Courtland Sutton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -135.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).The Broncos are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.The Denver Broncos have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the league.THE BLITZ projects Courtland Sutton to earn 8.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among WRs.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.Courtland Sutton has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 59.5% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 15th percentile among wide receiversThe Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks grade out as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on just 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
