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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a giant 9-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.28 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.

The model projects Courtland Sutton to earn 7.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Courtland Sutton's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 68.4% to 51.9%.

Courtland Sutton's 7.4 adjusted yards per target this season marks a noteable reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 9.6 rate.

Courtland Sutton is positioned as one of the weakest wide receivers in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 12th percentile.

This year, the strong Baltimore Ravens pass defense has yielded the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a feeble 3.6 YAC.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

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