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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 27.37 seconds per play.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • Courtland Sutton has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (91.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).
  • Courtland Sutton ranks in the 88th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 59.7 mark this year.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Broncos grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Broncos being a massive 13-point favorite in this game.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to pass on 50.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Panthers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.
  • Courtland Sutton's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 68.4% to 48.2%.
  • Courtland Sutton's 7.1 adjusted yards per target this year represents a noteable reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 9.6 mark.

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