My Account Log Out
 
 
Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 134.3 plays on offense called: the 3rd-most among all games this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 4th-most in football.
  • This week, Courtland Sutton is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 88th percentile among wide receivers with 8.2 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Courtland Sutton's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 68.4% to 48.2%.
  • Courtland Sutton's 7.1 adjusted yards per target this year indicates an impressive regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 9.6 mark.
  • Courtland Sutton's 1.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a significant drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 2.6% rate.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™