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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a big 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Broncos as the 3rd-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (33.9 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Courtland Sutton to garner 8.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Courtland Sutton's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 68.4% to 61.9%.
  • Courtland Sutton is positioned as one of the bottom wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 9th percentile.

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