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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL has been the Broncos.
  • The model projects the Denver Broncos to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The model projects Courtland Sutton to garner 9.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Courtland Sutton has totaled significantly more air yards this year (104.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Courtland Sutton's 60.3% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 68.4% mark.
  • With a subpar 2.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (11th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton places among the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the league in the open field.
  • The Chargers pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.88 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in football.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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