My Account Log Out

reorder

Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL has been the Broncos.

The model projects the Denver Broncos to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The model projects Courtland Sutton to garner 9.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Courtland Sutton has totaled significantly more air yards this year (104.0 per game) than he did last year (76.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Courtland Sutton's 60.3% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 68.4% mark.

With a subpar 2.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (11th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton places among the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the league in the open field.

The Chargers pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.88 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in football.

The Los Angeles Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™