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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 138.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

Our trusted projections expect Courtland Sutton to total 8.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Courtland Sutton has totaled far more air yards this season (93.0 per game) than he did last season (76.0 per game).

Courtland Sutton's 64.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 93rd percentile for wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

Courtland Sutton's 62.2% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 68.4% mark.

Courtland Sutton profiles as one of the worst WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 11th percentile.

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