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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

In this week's contest, Courtland Sutton is anticipated by the projections to place in the 89th percentile among wideouts with 8.2 targets.

After totaling 76.0 air yards per game last year, Courtland Sutton has posted big gains this year, currently averaging 92.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to pass on 55.2% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Courtland Sutton's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 68.4% to 57.4%.

Courtland Sutton's 8.3 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 9.6 rate.

Courtland Sutton ranks as one of the weakest wideouts in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 19th percentile.

The Falcons pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 2.89 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.

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