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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game.

The Broncos have been the 9th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 131.3 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

In this contest, Courtland Sutton is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 7.8 targets.

After accruing 76.0 air yards per game last year, Courtland Sutton has shown good development this year, now boasting 97.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Courtland Sutton's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 68.4% to 56.0%.

Courtland Sutton's receiving effectiveness has declined this season, notching a mere 8.36 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.61 rate last season.

Courtland Sutton checks in as one of the worst wideouts in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 2.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.

This year, the imposing Chiefs defense has surrendered a meager 118.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

This year, the formidable Chiefs defense has conceded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 7.0 yards.

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