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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The Broncos have been the 9th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 131.3 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
  • In this contest, Courtland Sutton is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 7.8 targets.
  • After accruing 76.0 air yards per game last year, Courtland Sutton has shown good development this year, now boasting 97.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Courtland Sutton's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 68.4% to 56.0%.
  • Courtland Sutton's receiving effectiveness has declined this season, notching a mere 8.36 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.61 rate last season.
  • Courtland Sutton checks in as one of the worst wideouts in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 2.72 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.
  • This year, the imposing Chiefs defense has surrendered a meager 118.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 3rd-fewest in the league.
  • This year, the formidable Chiefs defense has conceded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 7.0 yards.

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