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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
  • Courtland Sutton has run a route on 92.2% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
  • In this contest, Courtland Sutton is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.3 targets.
  • With a stellar 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (78th percentile) this year, Courtland Sutton has been as one of the top wide receivers in the game in the league.
  • Courtland Sutton's 75.7% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a material progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 59.4% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.9 per game) this year.
  • After averaging 100.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has seen a big decrease this season, now pacing 63.0 per game.
  • Courtland Sutton grades out as one of the bottom wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 21st percentile.

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