Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Courtland Sutton

NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect Courtland Sutton to total 7.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Courtland Sutton has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 24.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 86th percentile among WRs.
When it comes to air yards, Courtland Sutton grades out in the towering 94th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating an astounding 96.0 per game.
Courtland Sutton has been among the best wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 59.0 yards per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Courtland Sutton's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 59.4% to 77.3%.

Favors Under

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.

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