Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Courtland Sutton

NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
Courtland Sutton has run a route on 94.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Courtland Sutton to earn 6.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
Courtland Sutton has put up a monstrous 95.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Courtland Sutton has been among the weakest WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 18th percentile.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, yielding 7.43 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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