My Account Log Out

reorder

Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Courtland Sutton has run a route on 92.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among WRs.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in football this year.

Courtland Sutton is positioned as one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a terrific 59.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Courtland Sutton's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 59.4% to 71.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 124.4 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).

After totaling 100.0 air yards per game last season, Courtland Sutton has regressed heavily this season, currently boasting 76.0 per game.

More Courtland Sutton Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™