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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Courtland Sutton has run a route on 95.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.

THE BLITZ projects Courtland Sutton to total 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.

Courtland Sutton has accumulated a whopping 100.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile among wide receivers.

Courtland Sutton has been among the top WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 56.0 yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

The Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (158.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Courtland Sutton has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, completing a mere 59.2% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile among WRs

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