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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Courtland Sutton to total 8.7 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.

Courtland Sutton has been a more important option in his offense's pass attack this year (25.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (19.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Courtland Sutton has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, hauling in a mere 58.9% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 20th percentile among WRs

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.2%) to wideouts this year (63.2%).

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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