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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos will be rolling with backup QB Brett Rypien in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Courtland Sutton to accumulate 8.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among WRs.

Courtland Sutton has totaled many more air yards this season (105.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 10th-least in football.

The New York Jets defense has allowed the 10th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 137.0) versus WRs this year.

The New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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