Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Courtland Sutton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 12:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
Courtland Sutton has run a route on 91.1% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Courtland Sutton to accumulate 7.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
Courtland Sutton has notched a whopping 98.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile among wide receivers.
Courtland Sutton has been among the top WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 50.0 yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 57.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 61.0 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.15 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-least in football.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.