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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
  • Courtland Sutton has run a route on 96.4% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects Courtland Sutton to notch 7.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
  • Courtland Sutton has accumulated many more air yards this year (101.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Courtland Sutton's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 59.6% to 56.2%.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 8th-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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