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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-280).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.

Courtland Sutton has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 29.0% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

Courtland Sutton has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (110.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).

Courtland Sutton's 61.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 54.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Courtland Sutton has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, hauling in a mere 58.9% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 20th percentile among WRs

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.2%) to wideouts this year (63.2%).

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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