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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+224/-348).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -324 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -348.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Denver Broncos have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Courtland Sutton has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 28.9% this year, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

Courtland Sutton has totaled many more air yards this season (100.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Courtland Sutton has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 59.5% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 15th percentile among wide receivers

Courtland Sutton grades out in the 23rd percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.09 per game.

The Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks grade out as the 10th-best CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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