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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+189/-278).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +216 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +189.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per snap.

Courtland Sutton has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 27.3% this year, which places him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

Courtland Sutton has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (100.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).

Courtland Sutton's 60.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 90th percentile for WRs.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (70.9%) to WRs this year (70.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Courtland Sutton has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in a mere 57.6% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 11th percentile among WRs

The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 8th-least passing TDs in the league to WRs: 0.64 per game this year.

The Carolina Panthers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in football since the start of last season.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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