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Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

Courtland Sutton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+138/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Courtland Sutton to be a more important option in his team's passing game near the end zone this week (22.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (16.4% in games he has played).

Courtland Sutton has posted a monstrous 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among WRs.

Courtland Sutton's 54.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 85th percentile for wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.5 plays per game.

Courtland Sutton has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, completing a measly 59.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 18th percentile among wideouts

The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 2nd-least passing touchdowns in football to WRs: 0.59 per game since the start of last season.

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