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Corey Davis

Corey Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Corey Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

Corey Davis's possession skills have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 57.4% to 67.4%.

The New York Jets offensive line has afforded their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Corey Davis's 42.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 53.1.

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.8%).

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