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Corey Davis

Corey Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Corey Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-190).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

The New York Jets have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 69.5 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 8th-most in football.

Corey Davis's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 57.4% to 66.9%.

The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 7th-worst safety corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 11th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Corey Davis's 39.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 53.1.

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (60.3%) versus wide receivers this year (60.3%).

The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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