Corey Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Corey Davis

NFL · Player Props

Corey Davis

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Corey Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.2 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Corey Davis has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging an impressive 54.0 yards per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.
Corey Davis's possession skills have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 57.4% to 67.4%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Corey Davis has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (82.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).
Corey Davis's 42.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 53.1.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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