Corey Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Corey Davis

NFL · Player Props

Corey Davis

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Corey Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The New York Jets have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 69.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 8th-most in football.
Corey Davis has notched a colossal 94.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among wide receivers.
Corey Davis has been among the leading pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a terrific 62.0 yards per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 11th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Corey Davis's 39.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 53.1.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Corey Davis has been among the bottom WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 3.13 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (60.3%) versus wide receivers this year (60.3%).

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