Corey Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Corey Davis

NFL · Player Props

Corey Davis

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Jets · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

Corey Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+109/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.14 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in football.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers profile as the 4th-worst LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 5th-least in football.
Corey Davis has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (68.0 per game) than he did last year (95.0 per game).
Corey Davis's 37.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 53.1.
The New York Jets O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Corey Davis has notched many fewer receiving yards per game (41.0) this season than he did last season (55.0).

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