Corey Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Corey Davis

NFL · Player Props

Corey Davis

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Corey Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mike White in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the 2nd-highest Completion% in the NFL (71.6%) vs. wideouts this year (71.6%).
The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown bad efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, allowing 9.90 yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.
The New York Jets offensive line has allowed their QB 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 9th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 26.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the NFL.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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