Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (+116/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing 5.91 yards-per-carry.
The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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