Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to garner 12.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
Cordarrelle Patterson has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (56.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (45.4%).
Cordarrelle Patterson's ground efficiency has gotten better this season, notching 5.40 yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.92 figure last season.
The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.0 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding just 4.06 yards-per-carry.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles project as the best unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.