Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year at run-game blocking.
Cordarrelle Patterson has rushed for substantially more yards per game (65.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).
Cordarrelle Patterson's rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, averaging 5.29 yards-per-carry vs just 3.95 rate last season.
The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to be much less involved in his offense's running game this week (33.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (43.6% in games he has played).
Opposing teams have run for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 103 per game) versus the Washington Commanders defense this year.

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