Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in run blocking.
Cordarrelle Patterson has run for significantly more yards per game (68.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).
Cordarrelle Patterson's ground efficiency has gotten better this year, compiling 5.36 yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.95 rate last year.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most yards in the NFL (146 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (30.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (44.4% in games he has played).
The Atlanta Falcons have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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