Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 40.8% run rate.
Cordarrelle Patterson has earned 45.4% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Atlanta Falcons have incorporated some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 58.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints defense has had the best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, yielding just 3.80 yards-per-carry.
The New Orleans Saints defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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