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Cordarrelle Patterson

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 12

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+174/-248).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -187 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -248.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 53.4% red zone run rate.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has garnered 38.5% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among running backs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year at run-game blocking.
  • Cordarrelle Patterson has rushed for 0.71 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (95th percentile).
  • The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-least TDs in the league (0.55 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year.
  • The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the best safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

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