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Cordarrelle Patterson

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Cordarrelle Patterson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +189 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 52.4% red zone run rate.

Cordarrelle Patterson has earned 39.6% of his team's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.

The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.

Cordarrelle Patterson has rushed for 1.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the NFL among running backs (98th percentile).

Opposing squads have run for the 5th-most touchdowns in the NFL (1.33 per game) versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.7 plays per game.

The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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