Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+150/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed poor efficiency vs. running backs this year, conceding 6.17 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in football.
The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons have incorporated some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in football.
Cordarrelle Patterson has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (3.0 per game) than he did last season (16.0 per game).