Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to earn 4.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Cordarrelle Patterson has accrued a colossal 16.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile among running backs.
Cordarrelle Patterson's 23.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 97th percentile for running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 58.5 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints defense has given up the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 31.0) to running backs since the start of last season.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (71.9%) versus running backs since the start of last season (71.9%).

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