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Cordarrelle Patterson

Cordarrelle Patterson Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons

Cordarrelle Patterson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 7th-most run-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.3% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to earn 13.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among running backs.

Cordarrelle Patterson has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (57.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (45.4%).

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box versus opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a huge 10.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 59.2 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

The Atlanta Falcons have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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