Cordarrelle Patterson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Cordarrelle Patterson

NFL · Player Props

Cordarrelle Patterson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Cordarrelle Patterson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Cordarrelle Patterson has been given 40.7% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties project as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
The Atlanta Falcons have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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